Talk:Someone is Coming/@comment-38979655-20190513171026/@comment-25219384-20190711122627

Robbing a drunk has a 1% chance of yielding a 230 Echo item. So the expected return (with Shadowy 117 - the minimum to guarantee success) is: 117/2 * 0.03 * 0.99 + 230 * 0.01 = 5.045 Echoes.

That is per action, per 6 CP of SiC.

Adjusting to compare with the -21 CP of Sic from the relicker's card we'll multiply by 3 so that we get, on average:

3.5 * 5.045 = ~17.65 Echoes per 21 CP of Sic (costing 3.5 actions), which is "better" than the relicker's card in terms of Echoes/SiC (but not Echoes/Action).