Talk:What's going on in the wine cellars?/@comment-217.169.20.60-20170215113447/@comment-25219384-20170215125701

Youca really can't tell fro mjust 10 attempts. Failing a 50% luck check 10 times is a 1/1024 cahnce. That's nothing in a game where tens of thousands of people are doing dozens of actions each day. An event with a probability of 1:1000 should happen to quite a few players each day.