Talk:Forgotten Quarter Expeditions/@comment-30321884-20190118094742/@comment-30321884-20190123013806

Indeed, I noticed that more frequently rivals' progress doesn't show up in results at all. And less often it explicitly gives 0 or 1. That's for cautious approach, I mean. So to assume, the odds here are 1:2 to pick up normal and alternative success, correspondingly. Which would give expected value of 16.7% (1/6) to gain 1 RP.

It's not a conclusion, but simply a hypothesis. More statistics needed, of course.