Talk:Sit down next to Mr Apples/@comment-178.37.113.168-20180211070617/@comment-25219384-20180211075525

I understand your frustration. I offer my opinion that you just having bad luck is *by far* the more plausible explanation.

Consider this: The probability to lose a 30% gamble 5 times in a row is ~16%. (0.7 ^ 5). Some people succeed in the first attempt (~30% of them - yes, it does happen). Some on the second (~21% of them). Some on the third (~14.7% of them). And about 16 out of evey hundred players attempting this will need more than 5 attempts. That's just how probabilities work.

There are much harsher probabilities than that that occur everyday in Fallen London. Considering the thousands of players, and their hundreds of thousands of actions per day, some will have really good luck and some won't. Since you're only seeing your own individual experience it's easy to draw wrong conclusions.

(Some people have lost a 90% success chance several times in a row. Notice that the fact that *someone* experienced this is also a very likely result! *Some* people are bound to encounter this)