Talk:Listen to the Drownies' songs/@comment-1264592-20140831183352

Maybe the formula randomly chooses from 1 to your Watchfulness divided by the selling price of the item?

That is, the formula for Romantic Notions is: (randomly chosen) 1 to (Watchfulness/10)

and for Tales of Terror it's: (randomly chosen) 1 to (Watchfulness/50)