Talk:Make a wild guess/@comment-71.47.233.137-20170906235530

If the odds of success are 20%, then the average gain per action is

((62.5-11.55)*.2) + (-11.55*.8)

((50.95)*.2) + (-11.55*.8)

10.19 - 9.24

.95 echoes

Nothing too exciting, it's not like SMEN is known for being extremely profitable. However, if the odds are 30%.....

((62.5-11.55)*.3) + (-11.55*.7)

((50.95)*.3) + (-11.55*.7)

15.285 - 8.085

7.2 echoes per action.

So am I doing something wrong, or is it possible this option is HORRIFICALLY profitable? (In case you're wondering about numbers in between, it goes over 2 echoes per action at 22% odds of success)